I Give it a Year: Donald Trump’s Presidency will be short-lived

1980

Donald Trump won’t last longer than a year

The American election is almost upon us. Thank God. America is going to be faced with a choice on Tuesday and the choice is obvious … right? On the one hand, we have an unscrupulous, bigoted, politically inexperienced businessman. A man who lies and boasts about grabbing women by the pussy, unsolicited. A man who plays on the insecurities and fears of Americans using hateful rhetoric. A man who has never held a single political post in his life or Clinton. Though I do concede that she is by no stretch of the imagination an angel, she too has her pitfalls and a lot of her politics I disagree with vehemently but one cannot deny she is by far one of the most qualified candidates we have had in recent memory. Clinton has served as Senator for New York, Secretary of State, and First Lady. She had been active in politics since the 1960s, even a part of the Watergate Impeachment Committee.

Nixon was nearly impeached for the Watergate scandal
Nixon was nearly impeached for the Watergate scandal

However, for Americans, this choice is not as easy as many would believe it to be. Donald Trump last week took a lead in the polls and right now, a day before the election, Clinton only has a 3-point lead and there is still a wealth of undecided voters. Talking to a friend recently on our radio show a couple of days ago we had made a bet. Despite his disdain for Trump he was convinced that Americans wouldn’t make, what many believe would be the logical choice, he thinks that Donald was going to win and that got me wondering, what would a Trump presidency look like? In my opinion, we needn’t bother even thinking. In the event of his election, I see the celebration, confetti and victory speeches quickly followed by a hurried impeachment process. Donald Trump won’t last longer than a year.

What is impeachment? Impeachment is a process by which an official is accused of unlawful activity, the outcome of which may include the removal of that official from office. In the United States, Article One of the Constitution gives Congress the power to initiate and try impeachment proceedings against the President given he is involved in “treason, bribery, or other high crimes and misdemeanours”.

There have been impeachments of presidents before, the most famous one being that of Bill Clinton in 1998, he was acquitted and went on being president. Bill Clinton was very nearly impeached for lying, somewhat of a speciality for the Donald. President Clinton had lied to a grand jury about his relationship with White House intern, Monica Lewinsky, but later had to come clean after a wealth of evidence emerged (the blue dress being the most famous and gross piece of evidence). Clinton very nearly was removed from office but was acquitted and indeed no president has ever been removed from office by this process.

He Monica Lewinsky-ed all on her gown
He Monica Lewinsky-ed all on her gown

Impeachment is not a remote possibility for Trump for two reasons. He has little to no support within politics. In order for impeachment proceedings to commence there needs to be a vote and a two-thirds majority in each house. Regardless of what the makeup of each chamber of Congress is to be after the 8th there is no doubt in my mind that both parties would want rid of Trump. He has no support even from his own party. In fact, in May 2015 Republican Jennifer Lin founded the group ‘Republicans for Hillary’ and major Republican players and ex-party nominees such as John McCain and Romney have come out against Trump with Romney stating that “Dishonesty is Trump’s hallmark”. This coupled with the obvious disdain that most Democrats have for Trump means that there is little doubt in my mind that this hurdle will be overcome with ease.

Clinton was impeached for lying and Nixon was very nearly impeached for malpractice. Look up lying and malpractice in the dictionary and you’ll see Trump’s beady eyes staring back at you. He has consistently lied, to the point that it is bordering on comical. Trump’s behaviour and inconsistency has given fuel to satirists’ and comedians’ fire for the last year and a half now. The most enjoyable and telling bits is one done by Stephen Colbert on his ‘Late Show’ where they collate various clips of Trump in order to make it appear as if he is arguing with himself. Underneath this is a very important point, he does and says anything he wishes, with little regard for consequences. He’s a loose canon and says things with the motivation and eloquence of an upset toddler.

Trump represents a blight on American history that a lot of Americans will very soon be ashamed of

So what’s my final word on this election? Well, it’s been a long one. Brutal. Entertaining and frustrating. But Donald Trump won’t win this election. I can’t see it happening. Despite, the to and fro, the leads and the ‘Make America Great Again’ hats Americans surely do not want to bring about the end of days.
But in the very unlikely event that he does win, he won’t last long. He can’t last long. Trump, I feel, is going to represent a blight on American history that a lot of Americans will very soon be ashamed of. Trump’s ‘politics’ is filled with hate and divisiveness. Trump vilifies those in the minority whether it’s through his comments about Mexicans ‘being rapists’ or his frankly ridiculous and ill-thought out purported ban on Muslims entering the country. I’m glad this campaign will be over soon so America and the world can engage in self-reflection. Donald Trump will not and cannot win the election but then again, what do I know?

 







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